Originally Posted by captrat:
What empirical evidence can you cite to support that this novel virus is not transferable in higher temperatures?
Honestly, i’m a bit surprised how many have seemingly dismissed the concept of calculated risk. I really thought race fans, especially sprint car fans, would almost unequivocally say yes to the OP’s question. It’s all good though and i’m actually kinda glad to see it. Discussing differences can help us grow as people. My dad is over the age of 70 and is a cancer survivor so his choice like so many of you is to wait longer. Fully respect his decision and all others for that matter.
I am however going to challenge this question. I find it at disingenuous as you most likely already understand the term “novel” as it’s used from time to time with this current pandemic.
For those that don’t, “novel” coronavirus means “new or unknown”. By its very definition there hasn’t been enough time to establish “empirical” evidence by scientific standards about ANYTHING related to C19.
This is the reason Fauci was quick to criticize and slow the excitement of doctors across the country reporting a high success rate of hydroxychloroquine for C19.
Let’s talk about the strand. We know it’s mutating at an unprecedented pace adding to the challenges ahead. That said, it’s currently believed the strand in China was NOT the same strand in Europe/ Italy and is NOT the same strand in the USA and other parts of the world.
April 24 - you may remember it as the whole lysol UV light in your body press conference, early testing shows the half life of the virus was significantly reduced with exposure to sunlight. Earlier studies believed the vast vast majority of C19 viral transfers occurred between 37 - 69 degrees. Combined with earlier versions of coronaviruses known to falter in warm weather (reason we call it “flu season”), it looks promising so far. Even if you reference transfers in warm places like Singapore, i’ll re-reference the aforementioned mutation rate and differences from geographic region to region.
New research also suggests the virus transfer through soft surfaces like cloth/ clothing is almost nonexistent. So why did the CDC recently about face regarding cloth masks? Did the N95 stock suddenly fill to max capacity? nope... those preliminary findings came out, without scientific standards empirical evidence i might add.
This next part i may be a little sensitive since my grandpa ended his life by swallowing a rifle years ago, but i read an article from USA today estimating 75,000 suicides related to this pandemic. Isn’t that almost the C19 numbers? If we don’t find a way to test the waters and slow open this economy, what’s going to happen to that number? A vaccine is at least a year out and an indefinite wait and see period is an absolute farce. So when is the right time to test the waters? SOMEBODY HAS TO BE THE FIRST.
As far as taking it home to loved ones, i could go to a race on Saturday, self isolate for 3 days while taking hot showers and proper cleansing techniques, go to visit my cancer survivor dad while social distancing including the wearing of masks and have almost the exact same probability of transferring a virus as if i stayed home all week and only went to the grocery store once. But instead we’ve been programmed to believe from day 1 that a positive C19 case is the equivalent of a 1980’s HIV diagnosis and were all gonna die.
BTW, my heart truly does break for anyone that has fought this or lost anyone to it. I have a high school classmate who’s stepdad fully recovered but his mom did not.
So back to is there “empirical” evidence that opening the tracks are 100% safe or that warm weather will help? No, not yet. Is there sufficient evidence that there is a way to open tracks and effectively minimize risk? my risk calculator based on science says YES!!