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Z-man (Offline)
  #15 9/30/09 8:40 AM
From NOAA, now if someone could just interpret it. I think we are good saturday for sure, friday depends on how much rain falls in the morning. Of course this forecast could change right after I post this.
OPERATIONAL MODELS AGREE THAT A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY A COLD FRONT ON FRIDAY.
WAA/ISENTROPIC LIFT IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE WARM FRONT WILL CAUSE
PCPN TO BREAK OUT ACRS THE NRN TWO THIRDS OF THE FORECAST AREA
THURSDAY EVENING. WIDESPREAD PCPN IS LOOKING LIKE A GOOD BET ON
FRIDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES ACRS THE FORECAST AREA. HAVE RAISED
POPS INTO THE LIKELY AND CATEGORICAL RANGES. INSTBY APPEARS TO BE
LIMITED. HOWEVER...GFS MODEL CONTINUES TO INDICATE SOME ELEVATED
LIS BELOW 0 C...SO HAVE KEPT THE CHANCE OF THUNDER IN THE FORECAST
FOR THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY.

THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE EAST OF THE AREA BY FRIDAY
EVENING. DEEP MOISTURE WILL HAVE MOVED EAST OF THE REGION
ALLOWING FOR A BREAK FROM PCPN.